The IMF worsened the growth of GDP of Ukraine in 2025 by 0.5 pp. -up to 2-3%

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The International Monetary Fund (IMF) revised the agency of Ukraine’s economy growth in 2025, reducing it by 0.5 percentage points (VP) compared to the previous forecast-up to 2-3%, said in the press release of the Fund on the results of the mission work on the seventh revision of the expanding program (EFF).

“Real GDP growth is estimated at 3.5% in 2024, but it is expected that it will slow down to 2-3% in 2025, which reflects adverse factors related to labor market restrictions, damage to energy infrastructure and the continuation of Russia of Russia in Ukraine,”

Earlier this week, the European Bank for Reconstruction and Development (EBRD) worsened the growth of Ukraine’s economy in 2025 to 3.5%, while in September last year it expected it at 4.7%.

As it was reported, the World Bank (SB) in the published January 17, Global Economic Prospects, aggravated the growth of Ukraine’s GDP in 2025 to 2% of 6.5% in June report, but improved it by 2026 to 7% from 5.1%.

The National Bank of Ukraine also changed its forecasts. Given the security risks and the difficult situation in the labor market, the NBU at the end of January reduced the forecast of the growth of real GDP by 2025 from 4.1%to 3.6%, while the State Budget-2025 was built on GDP growth forecast by 2.7%.

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