Republican Donald Trump won the 2024 presidential election. in the USA due to the fact that he managed to maintain the trust of his electorate and attract new groups of voters who previously supported the Democrats, the American media reported with reference to the results of the polls.
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According to the Associated Press (AP) VoteCast study, Trump managed to gain popularity among “if not a majority, but a significant part of black and Hispanic voters”, as well as achieve “some gains” among other categories of the population that previously also supported the Democratic Party.
Just over 80% of voters who supported Trump in this election, according to the poll, were white, roughly in line with his 2020 level. As for Democratic candidate Kamala Harris, about two-thirds of her electorate is white, which the AP notes is in line with the 2020 election, in which Democratic nominee Joe Biden.
About 60% of white voters supported Trump in the November 5 election. This corresponds to a similar indicator for 2020, although Trump lost the election then.
“White voters make up the majority of the electorate in the United States,” the agency reminds.
But the share of black voters who supported Trump increased somewhat, and mostly at the expense of young men. According to the study, Trump managed to attract almost twice as many young black men to his side than in 2020. This, AP notes, “helped him break into a key group of Democratic voters.” In the end, about 30% of black male voters under the age of 45 supported Trump in Tuesday’s election.
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More than 120,000 people took part in the AP VoteCast study. US voters.
Meanwhile, according to an Edison Research exit poll, only 21% of black male voters of all ages supported Trump, but that was a 2% increase from 2020.
Democratic support among Hispanic voters has also declined: while Biden was supported by approximately 60% of Hispanic voters in 2020, Harris was supported by less than half.
According to Edison Research, Trump managed to significantly increase his popularity among Hispanic voters. 55% of Hispanic men voted for him (up 19% from 2020) and 38% of Hispanic women (up 8% from 2020).
In addition, Trump managed to gain popularity among women voters in general. In 2020, Biden won the votes of 55% of women, and Trump – 43%. In the same year, Harris received 53% of women’s votes, Trump – 46%. Although Harris was more popular among women voters, the increase in Trump’s approval rating among women compared to 2020 shows, as the AP points out, the considerable success of his campaign.
Similar conclusions about the success of the Trump campaign are shared by NBC News. Trump won more votes among voters under 30 than any other Republican presidential candidate since 2008, according to NBC exit polls.
According to NBC, in 2020, Biden led Trump by 11% among young men; this year, Trump was ahead of Harris by 2% among this population category. Among young women, the Democratic nominee’s 35% lead over Trump in 2020 has narrowed to 24% this year. Trump’s popularity among young white men without higher education in 2024 was 16% higher than Harris’s: Trump’s approval rating was 56%, Harris’s 40%.
According to NBC experts, this may be due to the fact that young people rely more on the opinion of those popular personalities who supported Trump.
Edison Research data shows that people with no education make up the largest share of the population: 57% of voters said they did not have a college degree, and 56% of them voted for Trump – a 6% increase from 2020.
Economy became an important motivating factor among young people during voting. According to NBC, voters under 30 were experiencing financial difficulties, were unsure about their future and were more concerned about finances than about issues that seemed “more distant” such as the future of democracy and illegal immigration.
In turn, the Edison Research exit poll shows that 46% of voters across the country said that their families’ economic situation has worsened over the past four years. This is 26% more than in 2020. In 30%, the situation did not change, and only 24% observed improvement.
NBC exit polls found the economy to be the most important issue to young voters, with 78% of those who place the most importance on it voting for Trump.
According to the Politico analysis, Trump’s success, in addition to the reasons indicated by other media, was contributed to, in particular, by “a high-profile statement in which he disparaged Biden’s handling of the problems on the southern border and inflation.” As the publication notes, such statements helped Trump win the support of “whites, Asians, and Latin Americans.”
Also, Politico emphasizes, “Jewish anger towards his political opponents because of the war in the Gaza Strip” played into Trump’s hand.
Presidential elections were held in the USA on November 5. Trump won them over. Its inauguration is scheduled for January 20, 2025.
